Executive Summary
A three-month escalation timeline for Lebanon, tracking daily armed-attack counts from July through September 2026 alongside the incidents that drove each month's peaks.
Key Insights
July
A noticeable increase in cross-border shelling targeting southern border areas. 11 July was the highest daily level in July at 51 armed attacks, and activity expanded to additional localities in Bint Jbeil and Marjayoun.
August
A significant rise in attacks in Mansouri and Haddatha, with increased use of airstrikes alongside ground clashes. 26 August was the highest daily level in August at 60 armed attacks.
September
A sharp escalation across multiple southern localities. 2 September was the highest daily level at 64 armed attacks, and 10 September saw a major explosion in Ali al-Taher registering a 4.1 magnitude seismic event.
Pro.Sec Research & Development
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